It’s that time of year when FPL managers try to squeeze as many premium options into their Gameweek 1 drafts as possible.
While the likes of Mo Salah and Raheem Sterling have plenty of love in the community, including Harry Kane in those Gameweek 1 teams is dividing opinion!
The Kane Dilemma
Done some early tinkering this morning. I have a Kane draft and a non-Kane draft.
— Fantasy Football Community (@FFCommunity_) June 28, 2019
It might have been a disappointing campaign last time around for Harry Kane, but we know his pedigree from previous seasons demonstrates his capability for fantasy returns. Fantasy Football Scout share the historical data.
? Hidden gems in our Members' Area: find out who is getting the really big chances by looking at shots taken from inside the six-yard box.
? Harry Kane recorded 19 such efforts in 2017/18 (below) but only eight in the season just gone:
— Fantasy Football Scout (@FFScout) June 28, 2019
Somewhat surprisingly, Harry Kane has seen his first significant price drop in three seasons. For someone with his capability, there’s plenty of potential there with this price. It’s a similar position to the one Sergio Aguero was in last season.
Last time Harry Kane started at 11m was 2016/17. He went on to score 224 points that season. pic.twitter.com/JZBaxj0aa9
— Fantasy Football Fix (@FantasyFootyFix) July 5, 2019
Jared, better known as FPLFujtown, is one fantasy manager attracted by the new price tag. Bearing in mind his price rises in previous seasons, he could prove to be a bargain if he replicates his form of the past!
Kane's reduction to 11.0m is baffling considering that every season he has played more than 500 minutes he has increased in price, to the point where in the last 3 seasons he started at 11.0m or above and ended 0.9 / 0.6 / 0.1 above the starting price.
— Jared Dyer-Cross (@FPLFujtown) July 3, 2019
The main issue with accommodating Harry Kane into those teams, is that the rest of the squad becomes pretty unbalanced. David Munday of Fantasy Football Scout has been tinkering and the balance is better without.
— David Munday (@DavidMunday815) July 8, 2019
The Harry Kane conundrum has been a hot topic on the Planet FPL Podcast and one that’s momentum is swinging towards the England captain. There’s five convincing reasons for having him in your team.
??"To Kane or not to Kane"
You would be forgiven for thinking these are my words. But they are those of Dara, a Fulham fan, on why the England captain prevents such great value again for #FPL managers ?https://t.co/XkBUbFZev4 pic.twitter.com/QJUK2jx9vz
— Planet #FPL (James) (@PlanetFPLPod) July 8, 2019
Those words of The Tinkermen are further echoed in the following graphic. Surely those lack of minutes and returns were just a blip and he’s destined for bigger and better things after the summer off!
⚽ 2019 was the first time in 5 seasons Harry Kane scored less than 20 Premier League goals
?️ He failed to hit 30 bonus points too
? It was also the first time he was not among the top 5 FPL points scorers
— TheTinkerMen (@TheTinkerMen) July 9, 2019
There’s plenty of traction within the community to opt for 2 or 3 budget forwards and ignore our premium players altogether. FPL Elf provides a stark warning in the graphic below of why this might be a bad idea.
My 1st #fpl draft had King as my most expensive FWD at £6.5m, but I’ve since got scared of not being able to jump on a premium FWD that’s banging.
Here’s last seasons premiums’ pts. It’s particularly Auba, Kun and Kane who have the ability to go on long streaks of big returns… pic.twitter.com/Wlnrve2066
— FPL Elf (@ElfFpl) July 10, 2019
However, there’s plenty of high profile managers ditching the premium strikers altogether. It was a strategy that worked very well for Mark Sutherns of Fantasy Football Scout last season. FPL Junior brings the conversation.
This may be the first season I start without a premium striker. I feel premium midfield are better options, some premium defenders are too good to go without and there's plenty of value in the mid priced forward range.
Do you agree or are you looking at a premium striker? #FPL
— FPL Junior (@FPL_Junior) June 29, 2019
FPL Drew is trying to fit Kane into his Gameweek 1 team. That opening fixture is enticing and the longer schedule isn’t too bad either. It also gives greater flexibility if any premium forward get’s off to a fast start.
❓Are we overlooking Harry Kane❓
⚪️ Opening fixture;
▫️Home vs. Aston Villa
⚪️ SEVEN of Spurs’ opening nine fixtures are favourable
⚪️ Penalty duty with VAR
⚪️ Reduced to £11m
If Aguero or Aubameyang explode it’s an easier swap than going without any premium strikers… pic.twitter.com/qfGFpp0zQf
— #FPL Drew (@FFPundits_Drew) July 6, 2019
Let’s Talk FPL’s Andy looks at whether going with Harry Kane is viable and which premium options he can challenge for our Gameweek 1 teams. He’s a great captaincy option in Gameweek 1, but a risk ahead of Liverpool attackers.
Made a video looking at Harry Kane, especially comparing to the other premium options.
— Andy (@LetsTalk_FPL) July 7, 2019
To conclude this Community XI series, FPL Chris looks at the merits of premium forwards in general and their worth in our initial fantasy squads. It’s an intriguing read: will you be looking to start with a premium option?
For more pre-season planning articles, sign up to Fantasy Football Hub Membership using the code FFCOM10 – there’s a massive £5,000 Mini-League prize pool on offer for all members this season.
BEFORE YOU GO… Be sure to check out the rest of our Community XI pre-season series: