Community XI: The effect of VAR in FPL
We will see VAR in Fantasy Premier League for the first time this season.
Love it or hate it, the community provide the big debate on the effect of VAR in FPL 19/20 season.
1. Rogue
To kick things off, Wee Rogue shares the original economist VAR article, delving into the statistics on the overall effect globally. The system is responsible for minimising referee errors, but what does that mean for penalties awarded?
Original study of VAR effect on penalties from last year.
TL;DR:
~ No evidence of an above average rate of pens awarded.
~ WC was anomalous & also had a higher underlying rate of non-VAR pens.
~ Slightly depresses the bias in awarding pens to home teams.https://t.co/stuXlhVMVT— Wee_Rogue ? (@wee_rogue) June 7, 2019
2. Copeland
James at Fantasy Bet has debated even further, concentrating on the effect VAR had in some of Europe’s biggest leagues as well as the Cup competitions. Perhaps the hype around penalties won’t be as large as anticipated.
I've written an article to put to bed all of this chat about VAR and pen takers next #FPL season. It's a useful read, I reckon.
Then again, I would say that I suppose…https://t.co/6FHz0yIPG2
— James Copeland (@FFH_James) June 28, 2019
3. Heisenberg
This topic has certainly got the community talking over on Twitter, with FPL Heisenberg putting his neck on the line. Will we see another total over the 100 mark for the Fantasy Premier League 2019/20 season?
Unpopular opinion: VAR will not significantly increase the amount of penalties in the 2019/20 Premier League season.
For context, the last 3 PL seasons:
-2016/17 – 106 PL pens
-2017/18 – 80 PL pens
-2018/19 – 103 PL pens— FPL Heisenberg (@FPL_Heisenberg) June 30, 2019
4. Lego
FPLego also looks through the impact in some of Europe’s leagues: we have to be reminded here of the small sample size and differing degrees of leniency compared to the Premier League, but things don’t look promising.
(Thread) I've been hearing a lot of talk about VAR in the PL next year, and how we will see so many more penalties awarded and our #FPL teams would be full of penalty takers, so I thought I'd look at some data (albeit a small sample).
— FPLego (@FPL_Lego) May 2, 2019
5. Stat
Despite the warnings above, there’s no harm in targeting a few high profile penalty takers in the league. Stat on Scout has crunched the numbers over a longer period, with a great argument for the likes of Milivojevic and Vardy.
https://twitter.com/statonscout/status/1147584699994427392?s=21
6. Fix
One partnership that brought plenty of FPL points last season was Zaha winning penalties for Milivojevic to convert. Zaha is one of the most tackled players in the league and could be worth considering.
Penalties won – 2018/19
?? Zaha – 6
?? Salah – 5
??????? Wilson – 3
??????? Ings – 3
??????? Sterling – 2
??????? Vardy – 2
??????? Rashford – 2
?? Richarlison – 2
?? Martial – 2https://t.co/XGgTUp5kYx pic.twitter.com/5n55VU7LLS— Fantasy Football Fix (@FantasyFootyFix) July 6, 2019
7. Stat Man
Looking in the short term once more, it’s Manchester United joining Crystal Palace and Leicester in the top 3. With Paul Pogba rumoured to be leaving Old Trafford, it remains to be seen who may take up the spot kick mantle.
Most Penalties Awarded Over The Last 2 Seasons
⚽️ Crystal Palace (20)
⚽️ Manchester United (15)
⚽️ Leicester (13)
⚽️ Brighton (12)
⚽️ Everton (12)
⚽️ Manchester City (12) #FPL pic.twitter.com/pjt34FGWV6— EPL Statman (@EPLStatman) June 29, 2019
8. Secrets
It was Pogba who benefited from Manchester United winning the most penalties last season. Could Josh King be the choice for Bournemouth if they can maintain their figures? Things were less lucrative for Troy Deeney and Watford.
Penalties Awarded Last Season ?
? Man U – 12
? Palace – 11
? B'mouth – 8
? L'ster – 7
? L'pool – 7
? Chelsea – 5
? Arsenal – 5
? E'ton – 5
? B'ton – 5
? Sou'ton – 5
⚫️ W'Ham – 5
⚫️ Wolves – 4
? M'City – 4
⚪️ Spurs – 4
⚫️ Toon – 3
⚫️ Burnley – 2
⚫️ W'ford – 1#FPL— Fantasy Football Secrets (@FPLSecrets) June 30, 2019
9. Guy
For FPL managers wanting to target spot kick takers in the hope of penalties, FPL Guy shares a comprehensive list from Fantasy Football Scout. How many will you own?
Penalty takers for 19/20 according to @FFScout #FPL #VAR ? pic.twitter.com/4IoBYK7MNn
— Abdul Rehman (@FPL_Salah) June 28, 2019
10. Vs
FPL Vs is serious about embracing spot kick takers this season with VAR in mind. It’s certainly possible to get 8 penalty takers, with Matt Ritchie emerging as a defensive option now his position has been changed.
Will #VAR provide more or less spot kicks this season? I personally think more and this experimental team has 8 penalty takers
Can't have 9 right?#FPL pic.twitter.com/jGcWZux08F
— ???? (@FPL_vs) July 6, 2019
11. Drew
Drew from Fantasy Football Pundits has created a side of penalty takers to embrace VAR. This squad balances those sides with a decent penalty taking record, merging premium assets. Could it be an option?
VAR FC pic.twitter.com/GwjQE1YF9A
— #FPL Drew (@FPLAvenger) June 27, 2019
BEFORE YOU GO… Be sure to check out the rest of our Community XI pre-season series:
—> Community XI: 11 Players for FPL
—> Community XI: Five Man Defence
? NEW COMMUNTIY POST ?
Check out the big discussion on a five man defence!@LetsTalk_FPL | @FPLGeneral | @FPL_Fly | @neilswmurrayFPL | @ahopcroft13 | @FPLHints | @FPDontTakeTheL | @FPL_physio | @MarchSimon | @FantasyFootyFix | @FFootballHub
— Holly Shand (@FFCommunity_) July 7, 2019
