Picking out the players that look likely to score in an FPL gameweek is a big part of management. Using recent underlying stats from the Fantasy Football Scout, we assess which players are due a goal in Gameweek 38.
Recent FPL goals
Some attackers are in great form over their last four matches:
However, others are shooting and getting in the right places without having either luck or end product. So let’s look at the players who have met the following criteria over their last four league appearances:
- No more than one goal
- At least nine shots
- At least two big chances
- An expected goals (xG) tally of 1.10
- An expected goal involvement (xGI) of 1.30
Due a goal in Gameweek 38
Now, more than ever, the big question on this final weekend is about who will actually play. Most teams have nothing to play for, whilst both Manchester sides are preparing for cup finals and Brighton regularly rotate.
Five of last week’s names remain for this final look at recent underachievement. At least Julio Enciso managed to succeed, curling in a beautiful equaliser against Man City.
However, Antony was stretched off with a bad-looking ankle problem to end his season.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Patrick Bamford are due, despite also being hurt. They are injury doubts but could be risked with Premier League survival on the line.
Replacing Antony was Marcus Rashford, himself just recovering from a knock and whose minutes may be managed on the final day. He did score the fourth past Chelsea, though.
The benching of James Maddison at Newcastle was purely tactical so he’s expected to start for Leicester’s must-win finale, whilst there’s a surprise appearance of 36-goal Erling Haaland in this list. FPL managers watched him play all 90 minutes in midweek, reducing confidence in his likelihood of playing much of Sunday’s trip to Brentford.
Finally, Kaoru Mitoma did everything but score in the match versus Man City. His goal was disallowed, he assisted another ruled-out strike and ended with an xG of 1.47. It might even be his turn to rotate out of Roberto De Zerbi’s line-up.
Additionally, please check out our Injuries and Bans articles before making your weekly transfers.