Using recent underlying stats from the Fantasy Football Scout, we assess which players are due an FPL goal.
Recent FPL goals
Some forwards are in great form over their last four matches:
5 GOALS – Gabriel Jesus
4 GOALS – Kevin De Bruyne, Son Heung-min
3 GOALS – Cristiano Ronaldo, Rodri, Harry Kane, Romelu Lukaku, Raheem Sterling, Leandro Trossard
However, others are shooting and getting in the right places without having either luck or end product.
So let’s look at the players who have recorded at least nine shots, an expected goals (xG) tally of 1.00 and an expected goal involvement (xGI) of 1.20 over their last four matches, yet no more than one goal.
Due an FPL goal
Last Wednesday’s selection preceded goals for Danny Ings, Michail Antonio, Maxwel Cornet and Luis Diaz. With another Double Gameweek about to take place, it’s interesting to see five of this week’s entries about to play twice. However, three of these are Burnley assets.
Top for recent goal attempts and expected goals (xG), Brighton’s Danny Welbeck is on a great run of starts. One goal and three assists have arrived over the last three matches, which is about to be followed by a trip to leaky Leeds.
Following the surprise inclusion of Marcos Alonso – a defender – it’s now the turn of Man City’s attacking full-back Joao Cancelo to be an underachiever. His midweek assist was his 11th of the season, with only one league goal so far.
Elsewhere, Bruno Fernandes plays for the only team to have a Blank Gameweek 37. The likelihood of a start for Diaz, Sadio Mane and Timo Werner likely depend on Saturday’s FA Cup final, whilst Jean-Philippe Mateta is seemingly in rotation for Crystal Palace up front.
Richarlison scrapes his way onto the list with just 1.04 xG over the last four matches. This is despite being the league leader for goal attempts (28), shots on target (12), shots inside the box (24) and penalty area touches (58) since Gameweek 31. His two promising home fixtures have led to many FPL purchases over the week.
Finally, managers with Wout Weghorst may be encouraged by his place on this list. Having a Double Gameweek balances with his poor run of one goal from 13 matches, although he’s starting to get plenty of shots and penalty area touches since Mike Jackson took charge. Six chances created, too.