When making FPL decisions many FPL managers mentally predict the outcome of matches
- Who will win?
- Will there be a clean sheet in this match?
- How many goals can I see being scored?
- How many players do I want to play in this game?
Ahead of the Gameweek 23 deadline we asked our predictions panel for their thoughts on what would happen in the games and what that means on for FPL planning.
Last week four of the panel predicted the outcome correctly in over half of the games. The whole panel also correctly predicted Liverpools clean sheet against Brentford.
El Statto and FPL Rabbi both correctly predicted the result in three of last weeks fixtures.
To keep track on how our panel are doing we have awarded 3 points for a correctly predicted scorelining and 1 point for a correct outcome but with the wrong scoreline.
- El Statto – 55 points
- FPL Rabbi – 46 points
- FPL Shake n Bake – 45 points
Watford v Norwich (Fri 20:00)
Everton v Aston Villa (Sat 12:30)
Brentford v Wolves (Sat 15:00)
Leeds v Newcastle (Sat 15:00)
Man United v West Ham (Sat 15:00)
Southampton v Man City (Sat 17:30)
Arsenal v Burnley (Sun 14:00)
Crystal Palace v Liverpool (Sun 14:00)
Leicester v Brighton (Sun 14:00)
Chelsea v Tottenham (Sun 16:30)
FPL Shake n Bake
With Man City looking in sumptuous form, and travelling to a leaky Southampton defence. I’m planning on risking 3 spins on the Pep roulette, bringing in Foden alongside KDB (likely Captain) and Cancelo. Investing in Man City seems a wise decision in FPL right now, even without the prospect of a Double Gameweek.
I’m not expecting the “new manager bounce” to be big enough to spur Everton back to winning ways against a recently impressive Villa side, but the atmosphere there now the cloud of Benitez has been lifted should lead to a better performance than we’ve seen in recent weeks. Whilst I wouldn’t invest in Everton this week, the likes of Dominic Calvert-Lewin should be on FPL managers radars moving forward with the fixtures they have as well as multiple matches to be rescheduled.
Finally, I expect Arsenal to bounce back to winning ways, if both them and Burnley can raise a squad. Ramsdale looks a great Goalkeeper option for this Gameweek.
Even with the appointment of Caretaker Manager Duncan Ferguson this week I am not expecting new manager bounce to kick in straight away and therefore think Gerrard’s Villa will win comfortably against Everton. Investing in the Villans therefore makes sense esepcially with the nice fixture run that follows as well as the potential for Double Gameweeks to come when their postponed fixtures are rearranged.
Both Manchester Untied and West Ham have been struggling for clean sheets and therefore I think both sides are likely to return in this one. Bowen will once again be key for the Hammers so if you are invested in the West Ham and United attacks play them both this weekend.
Leeds seem to have finally turned a corner and are starting to get some of their key players back from illness and/or injury. I suspect that they will be too much for Newcastle. With Harrisons hattrick in Gameweek 22, as well as Raphinha’s constantly attacking and creative play they could be a wise investment. Like Everton they have fixtures to be rearranged to investing in Raphinha makes sense – he is also captinable this weekend.
It looks very likely that Man City will carry on winning ways to stay top of the league, so investing in the likes of Foden and KDB could be wise. However, I think Palace will frustrate Liverpool at home and suspect both sides will score goals.
I am not expecting the new manager bounce to kick in straight away at Everton. With Gerrard’s Villa in good form and off the back of a great come back against Manchester United they look likely to compound Everton’s misery at Goodison. Investing in Villa this weekend looks sensible especially given the fixtures to come as well as the potential for Double Gameweek fixtures when their postponed matches are rescheduled.
Owners of King and Dennis look set to get some consolation for their postponed Double Gameweek 22 fixture with a win over Norwich. Stay invested in the Hornett’s front line ahead of the Gameweek 23 deadline.
I also expect Manchester United keep the Hammers scoreless at Old Trafford and that Arsenal assets will return from their postponed Gameweek 22 fixture to fire against a depleted Burnley.
Gameweek 23 has many difficult looking ties, especially for the bigger teams whose FPL assets are popular. This also means that there is no stand out captain pick this weekend. As a result we can potentially pick a differential captain which would produce a huge rank boost if it pays off.
Manchester City seem to be in full steam roller mode and away to Southampton could be a good week for a Foden or KDB pick. Even captaining a defender such as Cancelo could be a successful strategy this weekend.
I think there could be a few draws around this week with some tight matches and not too many clean sheets around, so invest in defenders who have attacking threat.
FPL Talking Points
I’m predicting mostly low scoring games this week.
Unless a double gets squeezed into Gameweek 23, nothing is really standing out to me at all in terms of players to target or to captain.
If that stays the case, then it could be a good time to bank a transfer to hold two free transfer’s ahead of the international break. This will open up more opportunities to sell Chelsea assets ahead of their Blank Gameweek’s 24 and 25.