FPL Gameweek 4 Tips: Last Minute

The FPL Gameweek 4 Tips are in from the community ahead of Saturday’s deadline.

The FPL Gameweek 4 Tips are packed full of tweets, polls, graphics, videos and podcasts to help with those big transfer and captaincy decisions.

Template

First up, the Always Cheating podcast talk template teams, after the new template spectacularly failed last weekend. The podcast is packed full of FPL Gameweek 4 tips as the duo reveal their transfer plans and captain picks ahead of the weekend.

? Pod #242: Mass chaos! Did this season's #FPL template already blow up? ? We search for takeaways from a wild #PL weekend, attempt to salvage Brandon's wildcard, and look ahead to #GW4 transfers and captains. #hailcheaters #MFFA ? Listen & subscribe ⤵️ https://t.co/28qXWPXHu1

— Always Cheating is here to Make Fantasy Fun Again (@hailcheaters) September 28, 2020

Son

The big news last weekend was the injury to Son Heung-Min. The prognosis remains positive for a speedy return, but for those fantasy managers compelled to sell the South Korean anyway, FPL Swede reveals his replacements in this latest Twitter thread.

Heung-Min Son replacements (Thread)

The highest scoring midfielder in FPL as of writing, Son picked up an injury in the first half against Newcastle and is now expected to already drop in price tonight

Who are the best replacements? What should you do with him? ⤵️ pic.twitter.com/x4Db3QyRkj

— FPL Swede (@FPL_Swe) September 28, 2020

Form

There’s an elite pool of players who have managed to deliver fantasy returns in all of their opening fixtures. That’s three consecutive returns for many, or two for the players from those sides who didn’t have a fixture in Blank Gameweek 1. Fantasy Football Pundits bring the key statistics.

1️⃣2️⃣ players have returned in every game so far this season:

CALVERT-LEWIN ⚽️⚽️⚽️⚽️⚽️

BAMFORD ⚽️⚽️⚽️?️?️

CASTAGNE?⚽️?️?️?️

LACAZETTE ⚽️⚽️⚽️

TOWNSEND ⚽️?️?️

ROBERTSON ?⚽️?️

LAMPTEY ?️?️?️

MINGS??⚽️?️

KONSA???️

MARTINEZ???

CASH??

TARGETT ??#FPL

— Fantasy Football Pundits (@FFPundits) September 28, 2020

Defence

One defensive duo at the forefront of our minds for yet another season is the Liverpool full-backs: Trent Alexander-Arnold and Andrew Robertson. The cheaper Scotsman has impressed most to date, but perhaps now the conversation needs to be on owning both?

TAA ??????? Robbo ???????

Shots 5 – 3 ???????
↪ in the box 0 – 3 ???????
↪ on target 0 – 1 ???????
Big chances 0 – 1 ???????
xG 0.04 – 0.52 ???????
⚽️ 0 – 1 ???????

Big chances created 2 – 1 ???????
Successful crosses 7 – 4 ???????
Key passes 7 – 3 ???????
xA 1.03 – 0.59 ???????
?️ 1 – 1 ??

xPoints 16.2 – 17.8 ???????
Points 15 – 20 ??????? pic.twitter.com/jOeMSGVPHI

— FPL Heisenberg (@FPL_Heisenberg) September 29, 2020

Penalties

It’s hard to keep penalties out of the conversation for the FPL Gameweek 4 tips. Sugeee has crunched the numbers on the key spot-kick takers for every Premier League side, as well as assessing their success rates. Some specialists are still yet to be decided.

★★ PL PENALTY TAKERS 20-21* ★★

A COMPACT DOC with All the Penalty Takers & their Entire Career Penalties STATS.

We all know the importance of Penalties in #FPL this Season! ?

❀ Please ??/?????? ❀

* I will update the document regularly ?#FantasyPenaltyLeague pic.twitter.com/NkLkJy7or0

— Sugeee FPL (@Sugeee_FPL) September 29, 2020

Statistics

Despite some huge variance in the opening three weeks of action, there’s already a clear pattern emerging of the weakest defensive sides in the Premier League to date. FPL Piglet presents the statistics, with West Brom leading the way.

? WORST DEFENCES GW1 – 3

Goals conceded:
11 – WBA
10 – FUL
7 – WOL, LEE

Big chances conceded:
11 – WBA
8 – FUL, LEE
7 – WOL, SOU, MUN, ARS, CRY

Goal attempts conceded:
52 – WBA
51 – NEW
50 – LEE
46 – SHU

xG conceded:
8.84 – WBA
5.90 – LEE
5.82 – NEW
5.29 – WOL#FPL

— FPLPiglet ? (@FPLPiglet) September 29, 2020

City

It’s a poor Leeds defence that has captured many fantasy managers imaginations ahead of the FPL Gameweek 4 tips, with Bakar in particular tipping our favoured Manchester City attackers to deliver a big performance this weekend. Could they earn the armband?

Leeds despite their recent clean sheet are still second worst for xGc and big chances conceded. Villa have played a game less but fare best in the league for the same two stats. Pep will want a reaction, once bitten twice shy but I think I might captain a City player again #FPL

— AbuBakar Siddiq (@BigManBakar) September 29, 2020

Odds

The bookies odds can be very insightful when it comes to nailing down those selections and captaincy. FPL Salah provides the latest anytime goalscorer odds percentages, and it’s Danny Ings and Mo Salah who lead the way on this occasion.

#GW4 anytime scorers probability %

Ings: 57%
Salah: 57%
Vardy: 54%
Auba: 53%
Werner: 51%
Abraham: 50%
Jimenez: 50%
Sterling: 50%
Giroud: 48%
Mane: 45%
DCL: 43%
Laca: 40%
Mahrez: 40%
Richarlison: 40%
KdB: 37%
Kane: 35%
Bruno: 34%
Martial: 34%
Rashford: 34%
Wood: 34%

Full list??

— Abdul Rehman (@FPL_Salah) September 30, 2020

Fixtures

This week I joined Joe and Az on the Fantasy Football Scout Scoutcast to discuss all things FPL Gameweek 4 tips, including fixtures. It was no surprise to see assets from Wolves and Leicester City dominate the discussion given their kind upcoming run.

? SCOUTCAST ?

?️ @FFScout_Joe and @ffscout_az are joined by @FFCommunity_ to discuss:

?️ Penalty takers
?? Son replacements – if he's out!
? Leicester assets
?️ Next four fixtures
? A rough Gameweek 3

? Watch/listen here:https://t.co/WXQUEAyjHk #FPL #FantasyPL #GW4

— Fantasy Football Scout (@FFScout) September 30, 2020

Transfers

The powerful Fantasy Football Fix algorithm returns for the weekend and the FPL Editor has put forward the top five transfer targets. There’s a familiar host of names in here among the premium players for captaincy.

? GW4 Top Five Key Players ?

✅ ? Premium
✅ ?? Premium
✅ ? 8.5<
✅ ? 8.5<
✅ ??????? Defender

Looking for stats to support your #FPL decisions? It’s here ??

Averaging 4.67pts per player in 20/21 ?

?/❤️’s appreciated

Click here ?? https://t.co/YmeH4DSL7l pic.twitter.com/nLvydlRpai

— The Editor (@FPLEditor) September 30, 2020

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