Last Minute Gameweek 14 Tips

With three gameweeks in nine days, the community have been planning carefully in the Gameweek 14 Tips.

Seven Premier League sides are carefully analysed, as we crunch the numbers on the best players to select for the weekend.

Arsenal

In the latest episode of the 3 Amigos Podcast, FPL Stag joins Kylie and Marz to share his all important Gameweek 14 tips. There’s a focus on Arsenal, with Lacazette stealing the show over Aubameyang last weekend. It’s Norwich up yet which could bring more goals for the Frenchman.

The pod is up! This week @KylieFpl and @marz05 were joined by @FPLStag (on a balcony no less!) as @TheMarpleCurse called in sick. We talked The Mourinho Effect, Monsieur Lacazette, what to do about Sterling, future sackings and more! Tune in #FPL https://t.co/rU17GLChru
— 3 Amigos #FPL Podcast (@3AmigosFPL) November 26, 2019

Differentials

In a brand new feature, FPL Family discuss differentials exclusively for Fantasy Football Scout. There’s a Spurs midfielder in there for Team Sam, plus a striker who has five goals in seven games. Could Jesus benefit from Sergio Aguero’s absence?

It's Sam vs Lee as @FPLFamily go head to head, picking their #FPL differentials ahead of Gameweek 14.

Who will win – Sam's expensive taste, or Lee's bargain basement options?

Find out here ? https://t.co/el2qZOkxMo
— Fantasy Football Scout (@FFScout) November 27, 2019

Odds

FPL Salah returns to the Gameweek 14 tips, with the adjusted bookies anytime goalscorer probabilities. Tammy Abraham is in pole position, but may miss out due to the hip injury he sustained in the Champions League. Mane is ahead of Salah for the first time!

#GW14 bookies anytime scorer probability %

Abraham: 63%
Kane: 58%
Jesus: 56%
Auba: 54%
Mane: 53%
Salah: 52%
Vardy: 52%
Batshuayi: 51%
Lacazette: 51%
Rashford: 49%
Sterling: 46%
Martial: 44%
Firmino: 43%
Pukki: 43%
Son: 43%
Jimenez: 40%
Moura: 37%
Ings: 36%
Pulisic: 35%#FPL
— Abdul Rehman (@FPL_Salah) November 28, 2019

Statistics

Vardy and Jimenez are the standout forwards going off the underlying statistics produced by Andrey Arshivan. There’s concerns for West Ham and Brighton from a defensive perspective, which could benefit the likes of Abraham, Pulisic, Mane and Salah.

Pre-#GW14 Stats ?

⚽ Shots Inside Box (On Target Inside Box)
? Chances Created (Big Chances Created)
⚠️ Shots Conceded Inside Box
❎ Big Chances Created#FPL pic.twitter.com/rzTHg2IUT7
— Andrey Arshivan (@arshifpl11) November 28, 2019

Captains

They are some of the names featured in the latest FPL Connect captain metric. It’s Jamie Vardy who is holding firm though and likely to be the most captained for the Gameweek 14 tips. He has scored in five consecutive games now, with seven goals and three assists in that spell.

? NEW ARTICLE ?

The latest "Captain Metric" is out people!

– Results of our poll ✅
– Underlying stats of the main candidates ?
– 1x differential (C) option⚡️
– Results of the Metric ?
– My view ?️

Check all this out here ⬇️ahead of #GW14 #FPL https://t.co/rrbYkufLaP
— #FPL Connect (@FPL_Connect) November 26, 2019

City

Sergio Aguero’s injury has boosted interest in alternative Manchester City attackers, including Gabriel Jesus. He has the highest goal involvement for City games when the Argentine has been absent and looks set to be central to scoring goals in the coming weeks.

Goal Involvement % in the 20 games across all comps for Man City that Aguero has missed since the beginning of last season:

Jesus 36
Sterling 24
Mahrez 23

In the 6 PL games:

Jesus 42
Sterling 25

Expect Jesus to be heavily involved.#FPL #FPLCommunity
— Andrew Gower (@goweramg) November 27, 2019

Creativity

Another Manchester City attacker has had a quiet few weeks, but leads the Chances Created metric alongside Trent Alexander-Arnold. They each have one assist from their last four games, but the statistics suggest more should be just around the corner.

Most Chances Created This Season

??????? Trent Alexander-Arnold (46)
?? Kevin De Bruyne (46)
?? Lucas Digne (35)
??????? Jack Grealish (31)
?? Emiliano Buendia (28)
?? Pascal Groß (28)
??????? James Maddison (28) pic.twitter.com/aasGlGhiyk
— EPL Statman (@EPLStatman) November 27, 2019

Chelsea

Chelsea midfielders have been popular all season, with plenty of managers making sideways moves this week to bring in form player Christian Pulisic for rotation risk Mason Mount. However, Scott is tipping an alternative in their midfield who is flying under the radar.

Considering Willian as differential to Mount and Pulisic.

?Only 3.0% owned
?£7.1m
?51 points (9 bonus points)
?2 goals, 3 assists
?Played a much more regular role in the past month or two
?Decent fixtures

Worth the risk? #FPL pic.twitter.com/qs7G4KtkNx
— Scott Wilson (@ScottW1110) November 27, 2019

Palace

Crystal Palace have the best run of fixtures right through the month of December. It’s an ideal time to consider main striker Wilfried Zaha. He’s had a steady start to the season, with just one goal and two assists, but could be much improved in this easier schedule.

Is it WILF time?!?! ?

Just look at those fixtures running up until GW21! pic.twitter.com/S4u87rvqep
— FPL Judas (@FPLJudas) November 27, 2019

Leicester

Leicester City have been so consistent recently, and while many managers are scrambling for their attackers, a double up in defence could be just as fruitful. Chilwell is comparable in output to go-to midfielder Maddison, and the Foxes have four clean sheets on the bounce.

Think the Leicester double up in defence is going under the radar…

? 4 clean sheets in a row

? Soyuncu cheap

? Chilwell just 3 points less than Maddison

? Good fixtures

? More clean sheets than anyone else this season

Chilwell and Soyuncu looking good value ? #FPL
— FPL Prince ? (@TheFPLPrince) November 27, 2019

Fixtures

Fantasy Football 247 analyse the fixtures for the Gameweek 14 tips. There’s three teams to consider who have a particularly kind run over the course of the next 3 games, but that could give managers an excuse to rotate their squads for the midweek round of games.

? FIXTURES ?

As the sack race has hotted up in the #premierleague, the fixtures could now be more favourable for one team.

See what @MattyMcVeigh makes of those and other future games right here ?https://t.co/oMv3FZKSwd
— FF247 (@FantasyFooty247) November 26, 2019

While you are here…. be sure to check out the rest of our Gameweek 14 content. —> Gameweek 14 Preview —> Gameweek 14 Team Get even more Fantasy Premier League Tips by visiting the Fantasy Football Community Homepage.