There’s a perfect storm brewing in Fantasy Premier League, involving the best two strikers in the league: Harry Kane and Sergio Aguero.
I feel partly responsible for this week’s hot topic, after preempting Kane to Aguero being this weeks most popular transfer. It has slowly gathered momentum over the course of the last week.
📊 | The #FPL transfer market is picking up pace ahead of Gameweek 25…
↪️ IN: Aguero [97,489]
↩️ OUT: Kane: [54,740]
— Fantasy Football Pundits (@FFPundits) January 24, 2018
Sergio is fresh off a hat trick in the Premier League, with a favourable run of fixtures. Harry Kane hasn’t been quite so prolific, and faces three tough games. Here’s where it all started.
📌Kane’s next 3 fixtures: MUN(H), LIV(A), ARS(H)
🆚United – Starts 6, Goals 1, Assists 0
🆚Liverpool – Starts 6, Goals 4, Assists 2
🆚Arsenal – Starts 6, Goals 6, Assists 0
What are your plans for Harry Kane in FPL?
Retweet if you are keeping. Like if you are selling. pic.twitter.com/c2PF2MvHoD
— FPL Holly (@FFCommunity_) January 21, 2018
Now, I have made the assumption that those of you reading this own either one of these two. If you don’t then you are doing FPL all wrong.
I see there being three main strategies for this one: hold Kane, sell to Aguero or own both!
Clearly, there are more strategies than just these three. FPL Judas has put together a fantastic flow chart of many possible scenarios. It is incredible!
Hope this helps and is a good laugh to do!
— FPL Judas (@FPLJudas) January 26, 2018
Many managers are still in possession of Spurs midfielders from DGW22. With squads blighted by injuries and suspensions, FPL Fly considers whether holding onto a Spurs mid in favour of Kane could be a practical cover strategy in this period.
In the interest of parity let’s look at Kane @ Wembley. Same period.
GW9 1️⃣6️⃣ ⚽️⚽️
GW11 2️⃣ ✖️
GW13 8️⃣ ⚽️
GW16 1️⃣2️⃣ ⚽️⚽️
GW17 2️⃣ ✖️
GW20 2️⃣0️⃣ ⚽️⚽️⚽️
GW23 1️⃣3️⃣ ⚽️⚽️
— FPL_Fly🔻 (@FPL_Fly) January 28, 2018
Comparing the statistics, Kane doesn’t have a great record against Manchester United, so the Gameweek 25 isn’t favourable.
However, you are probably going to want him for his games against Liverpool and Arsenal where he becomes a captaincy contender once again.
Looking at the reaction to my initial tweet, keeping Kane is a more favourable strategy than selling, but only just.
📌Aguero’s next 3 fixtures: WBA(H), BUR(A), LEI(H)
🆚West Brom – Starts 9, Goals 7, Assists 4
🆚Burnley – Starts 4, Goals 4, Assists 0
🆚Leicester – Starts 3, Goals 1, Assists 0
Which will you own in GW25?
Like for Kane. RT for Aguero.
Own both? Reply with your best smug GIFS!
— FPL Holly (@FFCommunity_) January 25, 2018
The smugness of managers who own both of these players has certainly been entertaining! Aguero has a strong record against West Brom and is an ideal captaincy candidate for gameweek 25. Added to this, the West Brom team looks depleted due to injuries.
Flu-bug sweeping through the Baggies camp….. Add Sam Field to that list. The young midfielder, who has been linked with a loan move, won't be involved at Anfield. #WBA
— Ben Dinnery (@BenDinnery) January 26, 2018
Perhaps a compromise, would be to deploy a hop on hop off. Sell Kane for Aguero in Gameweek 25, plus potentially captain, then buy Kane back for Gameweek 26. The downside of this would be losing any significant value that you have in Kane.
— FPL Family (Lee) (@FPLFamily) January 21, 2018
The statistics are with Sergio. Remember when Kane dominated September? November was for Mo Salah. Just one game remains in January, but the advantage is with Kun in this one.
Sergio Aguero in 2018:
Bristol City: ⚽️
Bristol City: ⚽️ pic.twitter.com/NuyxL3rzpY
— City Watch (@City_Watch) January 24, 2018
The ideal strategy is to own both of these players. It may mean shifting funds and accessing cheaper midfield and forward options to afford it though.
It's funny seeing the Twitter trends in FPL everyone rushing to dump Kane and trying to get Aguero. I own both and there is only one I'm planning an exit for and it's not Harold…
— Chef Dale (@ChefDaleH) January 25, 2018
If you are looking to cheap budget players to free up funds, its worth checking out my latest article analysis 5 Budget Picks for Gameweek 25 and beyond.
💰NEW #FPL POST💰
5️⃣ cheap transfer targets to consider, with statistics provided by @BenCrellin.
💰Budget Friendly ✅
📉Low Ownership ✅
🏆Out of the cups ✅
📆Good Fixtures ✅
😴Rested for GW25 ✅
RTs appreciated. Check it out…👇https://t.co/8xx2d9vYuo
— FPL Holly (@FFCommunity_) January 23, 2018
The man responsible for Kanexit the first time around was James Egersdorff. His excellent FPL record demonstrates that his risky strategies usually pay off.
#Kanexit IMO was (and still is)an awesome strategy
It was just unfortunate for me when I deployed it Sir H of K went on to bag consecutive hat tricks (what were the odds on that!?)
FPL is a prediction game based on probability; how likely is HK to outscore Player X next 3 GWs? https://t.co/ryjRtT7QF6
— James Egersdorff (@JEgersdorff) January 24, 2018
Plenty of FPL managers are giving this strategy another bite of the cherry, following a disastrous first billing in December.
A statistical approach may help you to determine the potential gains of Aguero outscoring Kane over the next 3 fixtures.
Kane's been involved in 22/47 goals for Spurs = 47% or 0.47
Aguero's been involved in 21/70 goals for City = 30% or 0.3
How many goals do you see Spurs /City scoring over their next 3 games? Times it by 0.47 or 0.3. Whichever number is higher is who you should play. pic.twitter.com/ohDpD72k3K
— GW38 🎖️ (@Gameweek38) January 26, 2018
Surely he can’t troll his sellers with hat tricks against United, Liverpool and Arsenal?
Perhaps this is the right time for #Kanexit 🧐
▪️Aguero the straight swap target🔄
▪️Surely Kane won’t score back to back Hattrick this time?(MUN H,LIV A)🤞🏽
▪️Switching back to Kane would be straightforward considering the possible price fluctuations between them 🔜#FPL pic.twitter.com/mW8Y7azo8r
— FPL Wolf 🐺 (@FplWolf) January 25, 2018
Daily Strikers and FPL Herald have both provided informative articles to help you to make the all important transfer decisions.
— Daily Strikers (@DailyStrikers) January 26, 2018
📝 #KANEXIT 2.0 ARTICLE
🤔 Kane ➡️ Aguero looks a popular move for the next 3 GWs:
📊 Stat comparison
— FPL Herald (@FPL_Herald) January 25, 2018
It has also been a key discussion point in many of the Gameweek 25 podcasts. Find out what the General is going to advise on this little dilemma.
🎧 NEW PODCAST 🎧 #GW25 preview.
RTs appreciated. Enjoy 👍 https://t.co/p0lqv1sqLG
— #FPL General (@FPLGeneral) January 26, 2018
Going with both is leading the way as the most popular startegy, but many are getting tempted by hitting the transfer button.
My thoughts on #Kanexit 2.0…
RTs appreciated 👍 pic.twitter.com/u3M9pa57Qh
— The Notorious FPL 🇮🇪 (@FPL_McGregor) January 25, 2018
UPDATE: Spurs FA Cup action on Saturday seems to cause even more confusion as to whether to keep or sell Harry Kane. On the plus side, he got a crucial equaliser equaliser. Admittedly, it wasn’t the toughest of opposition.
This tweet was obviously a joke, but 2 genuine reasons to keep Kane… 💪
1. He’s scored in his last 4 games in all comps. His best run since Nov 2016 (via @OptaJoe)
— FPL Dabbler (@theFPLdabbler) January 27, 2018
DON’T DROP KANE!
If he can score against Newport, he can score against anyone…. 😜 https://t.co/QlJgZP232o
— FPL Holly (@FFCommunity_) January 27, 2018
Kanexit 2.0 = Kane Scored.
— FPL🇲🇾 (@FPL_MY) January 27, 2018
4 – Harry Kane has scored in each of his last four games for Tottenham in all competitions, his best scoring streak since November 2016. Equaliser.
— OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) January 27, 2018
— FPL_Fly🔻 (@FPL_Fly) January 27, 2018
The downside is that Kane played 90 minutes and now Spurs have an FA Cup replay to squeeze into their schedule. They don’t have the best of records against top teams either.
TOT now has 5 games in 2 weeks… kanexit is on for me
— FPL Moose (@FPLmoose) January 27, 2018
1 goal and 90 minutes tonight for Harry Kane.
📆 Spurs upcoming schedule is getting even busier!
31 Jan – Man Utd (H)
04 Feb – Liverpool (A)
07 Feb – Newport (H)
10 Feb – Arsenal (H)
13 Feb – Juventus (A)
The momentum for Kanexit continues….https://t.co/RRL5ZY3Rnr
— FPL Holly (@FFCommunity_) January 27, 2018
Tottenham’s 5 PL Defeats This Season
❌1-4 (A) Man City (1st)
❌0-1 (A) Man Utd (2nd)
❌1-2 (H) Chelsea (3rd)
❌0-2 (A) Arsenal (6th)
❌1-2 (A) Leicester (7th)
➡️They are unbeaten against the teams currently 8th-20th (18 Games) pic.twitter.com/O4yvjoxeYR
— EPL Stat Man (@EPLStatman) January 27, 2018
BEFORE YOU GO, check out the Gameweek 25 Community XI which has plenty of advice for the upcoming Gameweek.